


Begetting First-best Status for PrincipalsBased on First-Best Policy Research Dr. Sankarshan Acharya |
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To: Honorable President Barack Obama Cc: Honorable House Speaker John Boehner Sub: Begetting first-best status for principals (citizens) Dear President and Congressional Leaders, The Congress is supposed to represent the collective wisdom of We the People. But pundits have often portrayed how the Congress has pandered to the vested interests for quid-pro-pro political contributions and, as a result, caused the economic mess. My experience is profoundly different. I have observed that the Congress has really proved to be the Paramatama (the paramount soul of all souls of people), though not perfect yet, but still willing to establish governance based on truth and may thus be able to save the economy. This memo is on four issues:
1. Prevailing Financial System Let’s delve into the principal-agent analysis to see how the current system of finance has been established and perpetuated. The principals are the households and firms who produce and serve the nation. They elect individuals to represent their best interests. The agents include (i) financial guardians (executives of financial firms who are custodians of the savings of principals), (ii) regulators like the Treasury, Fed, SEC, CFTC and FDIC who monitor the financial guardians, and (iii) the experts in the finance-economics academy and think tanks who research on the best viable system needed to keep everyone engaged in production and mutual service. A common goal of the principals and agents, as citizens of the same country, is to achieve their first-best level of prosperity amid stability. The principals are somewhat disadvantaged because the agents have deeper insights about the economy and thus use their insights to lobby for policies. Academically, the agents control the economy and the principals face moral hazard due to asymmetry of information. The journals, publishers and media have been under the control of a group of very powerful and rich agents. They have promoted feasibility of only second-best policies written by the experts. Many principals and elected officials have been trained by the same experts in prestigious universities and colleges. They have been ingrained with a belief that only second-best policies are feasible. The elected representatives have thus accepted second-best policies as laws. These laws have shaped the prevailing system of financial moral hazard. The agents who have promoted second-best policies have so far ensured first-best existence for themselves by subjecting the principals to second-best status. In the prevailing system of financial moral hazard, the agents make some political contributions to the elected representatives of the principals, fund the experts to continue their research on only second-best policies, rob the principals of their savings through second-best laws, and suppress and purge from the academy anyone who dares to prove the existence of first-best policies to resolve financial moral hazard even in a more rigorous, general model of equilibrium than the myopic models used in second-best policy research by the experts financed by the usurped wealth. The irony is that the political contributions and funding of experts add up to a tiny fraction of the wealth usurped from the principals. Even the usurped wealth is a small part of the gargantuan amount of destroyed wealth of principals due to financial moral hazard. The system of financial moral hazard is, thus, economically inefficient. It is also unconstitutional. It has caused continual depressions in the U.S. This has been formally proved by first-best policy research since 1991. The agents promoting second-best policies have suppressed publication of the first-best policy research in their controlled journals, publishers and media. The first-best policy research being pursued since 1991 includes Economically Efficient Constitutional Governance and Optimal Holding Company Organization and Capital Structure for Constitutional Governance. These and other related first-best policy research papers have illustrated how a financial catastrophe had been brewing and would be unavoidable if the first-best general economic equilibrium policies were not preemptively adopted. The first-best policy research papers have proved that the prevailing system of money and finance is unconstitutional and economically inefficient. 2. Discovery of Truth by Congress The second-best policy promoting agents have succeeded, till the financial catastrophe erupted in 2008, in convincing the Congress to not consider any first-best policy research, howsoever robust it may be, if it is not published by the top journals and publishers controlled by the agents. During their testimonies before the Congress-appointed Financial Inquiry Commission, the second-best policy promoting financial guardians in the industry and regulatory agencies simply feigned innocence by claiming that no one in the academy, industry or government saw the crisis coming. Even the academic experts flaunted their wisdom authored in a book, promoted by a renowned academic publisher, to assert that the financial catastrophe of 2008 was a Slap by the Invisible Hand. It must have befuddled the second-best policy promoting guardians, regulators and experts how the Congress rejected their testimonies by remaining oblivious of all the political contributions. The FCIC found out the truth that the financial catastrophe was caused by the failure of the second-best policy experts, guardians and regulators. The Congress must have discovered the epistemic truth that the failure of second-best policy agents caused the catastrophe as a result of the following factual events:
Such discovery of epistemic truth has reinforced my belief that the Congress represents, though not perfectly yet, the real-world Paramatma (soul of all souls) of the principals. I have concrete evidence to establish how the same failed second-best policy peddling agents continue to reject first-best policy research which has discovered an implementable (manmade) system of money and finance to beget first-best status for the American principals. The failed second-best policy experts, still ruling the roost, have recently rejected publication of first-best policy research with virtually no review by a top-tier journal, which has already published multiple major papers written by the same first-best policy author on different topics. Continued rejection of first-best policy research proves that the failed second-best policy agents are hell-bent to suppress the publicity any rigorous research designed (manmade) to beget the first-best status for the American principals. The failed experts have promoted only second-best research through their myopic models to suit their sponsoring financial guardians. They abhor the prospect of being debased from their statuses in the academy, industry and government! To discover the truth about the financial catastrophe, the Congress was rightly not swayed by fame of the finance-economics experts or by the prestigious institutional affiliations of these experts. The Congress was not moved by the expertise of the finance economics experts in the academy or regulatory agencies. Neither was the Congress influenced by the ability of the Masters of Universe bankers to be wealthy and to make generous political contributions. The Congress was nonchalant about the fame of the institutions that housed the second-best policy experts in the academy, industry and regulatory agencies. The Congress squarely rejected the second-best expert-wisdom of portraying the catastrophe as an act of god in papers and books printed in journals and media controlled by the same agents. The constitutional and economically first-best model (written since 1991), which has been rejected by the second-best policy experts, (i) shows how the prevailing financial moral hazard system that crashed in 2008 is, in fact, manmade and (ii) obtains an alternative manmade system, which is economically first-best efficient and constitutional. The failed second-best policy promoting agents and their controlled journals and publishers have thus proved to be schizophrenic: they have painted themselves until 2008 as the almighty god, but when the real world including the Congress discovered their failure due to their clueless testimonies, they attributed the financial catastrophe to some other god. Their rejection of profoundly important first-best policy research designed (manmade) to beget first-best status for the American principals is truly dangerous to the prosperity amid stability and security of the nation. The failed second-best policy promoting agents need to be replaced, urgently, to attain first-best level of prosperity amid stability for American principals. The University of Illinois produces every year more than one hundred advanced undergraduates who take my courses on futures and options markets and fixed income securities and their derivatives. They are groomed in the nitty-gritty of financial valuation and trading strategies. Some of these graduates have later completed MBA programs in schools like the University of Chicago and Carnegie-Mellon. They have written to me how easy it was for them to simply repeat and walk over the courses at those programs due to the material they learnt in my classes. The University of Illinois’ advanced undergraduates learn about models on valuation of total risk (as opposed to just the extant wisdom based on valuation of partial risks rejected by data) and about first-best governance of banks and capital markets to ensure that the fair valuation models of finance do not go haywire by confounding professionals trained via books and papers that publish the extant wisdom based on unconstitutional and economically inefficient rules of governance designed (manmade) by the second-best policy peddling agents who are deemed (truly) by the Congress to have failed. 3. Grumbling principals People should salute the Congress for finding and establishing the truth. The truth, effectively, is that the second-best policy promoting agents manipulated the system and camouflaged the reality by (a) training the finance and economics students and politicians about feasibility of only second-best policies, (b) rejecting the first-best policy research by their controlled journals and publishers and (c) persuading the Congress to not use first-best policy research because it has not been accepted by famed journals and publishers controlled by the same agents. The agents’ political contributions, fame, wealth and manipulating skills did not sway the Congress in proclamation of the truth. The Congress declared that the agents’ failure caused the crisis. The Congress has also adopted many of the first-best policies: safe central banking to insure money market funds and bank debt and to require bank holding companies to have minimum capital on a consolidated basis. Why are the principals then grumbling or protesting, first through the Tea Party Movement and now the Occupy Everywhere Movement? These movements have the same common theme: “banks got bailed out, principals got sold out.”
The principals are perhaps angry because they still observe the following facts:
. Why should a principal-who has not only pursued for seminal first-best policy research to design policies to further the best interests of principals, but also selflessly lobbied with the Congress to adopt only first-best policies since 2003 by developing a more general equilibrium model than any other in the extant literature-be financially oppressed by the second-best policy experts and guardians, who have been deemed by the Congress to have failed? It is happening because of the rejection of first-best policy research by the journals and publishers controlled by the same failed second-best policy agents. This needs not and should not happen if the goal of the Congress is to establish a first-best society for American principals. The Congress should fund a center of constitutional-efficient finance and a rigorous Journal of Constitutional-Efficient Finance founded on seminal first-best policy research designed to beget a first-best status for the American principals consistent with the dream of the founding fathers and with the truth discovered by the Congress. Why should the first-best policy researcher’s pay be less than 20% of the failed second-best policy experts in the academy and less than 1% of the failed second-best policy guardians of finance? The real problem is not whether enough taxes are raised from some income group or the other. It is how some of the large incomes are being generated by recklessly destroying the ingeniously developed capital or labor due to a system of moral hazard championed by the second-best policy experts and guardians, who have admitted their failure and which the Congress has also determined as the cause of the financial catastrophe of 2008.
4. First-Best Policy Path Please recall that after the bank foreclosure rule, authored by the first-best policy researcher, was implemented in 1991 by Congress the economy zoomed forward with stock market indexes tripling. It happened because investors all over the world regained their confidence in a decidedly stable US banking system, which has been now decimated by the second-best policy agents. Please also recall that the first-best policy researcher (as a Fed financial economist) had complained about the surreptitious transgression of the bank foreclosure rule through the bank holding company structure in 1994, and had written then a series of first-best policy research papers to avoid the transgression though new first-best policy. But the Fed has been a part of the second-best policy agents due to the Federal Reserve Act of 1913. So, it was not hard to see that the Fed would not support first-best policy for principals. I did not read the Federal Reserve Act before I was lured to leave NYU. I learned at the Fed that only the Congress could represent the principals. So, I came to the University of Illinois in 1995 to communicate my first-best policy research directly with the Congress. I had requested you a few months ago to ask the failed second-best policy agents–who are still ruling the roost–to devise a path to extricate the economy from the rut that they have pushed the principals to fall into. They have failed to find a way, except for grumbling about raising taxes or cutting government spending to balance the budget. In this section, I propose how to implement the first-best policies practically without raising taxes or printing money to enhance prosperity amid stability of American principals. I see this as the unique path (consistent with first-best policy research) to get out of the rut and to advance prosperity of American principals, which is not necessarily the same as the economic growth pursued by the second-best policy agents. The Congress has discovered the truth that a first-best system exists and is being rejected by journals and publishers controlled by the agents willing to perpetuate the first-best status only for themselves by subjecting the rest to second-best existence. The Congress has found that the current agents have failed. The failed agents or others ingrained in the second-best policy wisdom cannot foster first-best status for American principals. The only way to implement or adopt first-best policies is to have an irrevocable rule of promptly replacing the agents (guardians, regulators and experts) who have failed, at least after the Congress has determined that such failure has imploded the established second-best system of financial moral hazard. A society can preemptively replace such failing agents only by public funding and promoting first-best research policies to serve the best interests of the principals. This is the only reason for my proposal, made since 2005, to establish a national or global center for research on constitutional-efficient finance. Let’s come to the nitty-gritty of immediate policy reforms as per findings of first-best research. The principals have a right to demand efficient (cheap and effective) governance. But finding policies consistent with such governance has not been easy. In 1989, J. F. Dreyfus and I first used a policy goal to attain efficiency in governance and proved that banks should be foreclosed whenever their capitals fell below a minimum threshold by assuming that the federal guarantee of bank deposits is necessary and priced fairly. The Congress enacted this finding as law in FDICIA-1991. Dreyfus and I have not proved then, though, that the federal deposit guarantee itself is efficient. My subsequent research, first mimeographed at the Federal Reserve in 1991, shows that the federal guarantee of bank deposits is inefficient and explicitly proves in a published paper in 2003 that a safe central banking facility open to every firm and household (not just banking firms) will make the inefficient federal deposit guarantee unnecessary to avert potential panics and runs due do rare random shocks in the economy. So, Congress should move forward to enact these first-best research findings:
5. Conclusion I look forward to having your response, seriously. This is important because you have determined that the agents (experts, regulators and financial guardians) on whom the society has depended so far have caused the financial catastrophe of 2008 by promoting second-best policy research and by suppressing first-best policy research. After the catastrophe of 2008, three years have lapsed. Yet, the failed second-best policy promoting agents have been unable to come up with policies to lift the economy from the rut they have dumped the principals in, despite early warnings from first-best policy research. The principals can now hope to gain their freedom from their second-best existence to enjoy first-best living if you continue to move forward on your discovered path of governance by truth. The truth is that first-best policies exist and can be practically implemented. With profound regards, SankarshanAcharya The common notions of truth, soul, Paramatma, god, religions, beliefs and modern science can be rationally reconciled with modern concepts on (probability) beliefs used in science, mathematics, engineering, and economics as well as spiritualism. See Acharya, S. (1995-2011), “A Unifying Philosophy of Governance,” available at http://www.pro-prosperity.com/A-Unifying-Philosophy-of-Governance.html See Acharya, S. (2009), “Optimal Governance for Prosperity amid Stability: A New Economic Philosophy for Democratic Capitalism, Realizing a Common Dream…” for measurement of prosperity, http://www.pro-prosperity.com/Research/Prosperity%20Amid%20Stability%20-%20A%20New%20Economic%20Paradigm.pdf. See Acharya, S. (2010), “Economically Efficient Constitutional Governance,” at http://www.pro-prosperity.com/Research/moralhazardliberty.pdf and Optimal Holding Company Organization and Capital Structure at http://www.pro-prosperity.com/Research/OptimalHoldingCompanyOrganizationCapitalStructure.pdf See, Acharya, S. (March 2003), “Warning to Congress on Current Home Mortgage Debt Debacle,” at http://www.pro-prosperity.com/Global%20Economy%20Chatterbox/Warning-USCongress-In-2003-On-Home-Mortgage-Debacle.html See also Acharya, S. (August 2003), “Safe Banking,” published in the Journal of American Academy of Business, available at http://www.pro-prosperity.com/usa/safe%20Banking.pdf This safe central banking paper has many references, especially, the paper on optimal bank foreclosure rule, Acharya, S. and J.F.Dreyfus (1989), Optimal Bank Reorganization Policies and Pricing of Federal Deposit Insurance, Journal of Finance, XLIV, 1313-1333 Acharya, S. and J.F.Dreyfus (1989), Optimal Bank Reorganization Policies and Pricing of Federal Deposit Insurance, Journal of Finance, XLIV, 1313-1333 Public exchequer is defined by the pool of tax funds and money created by the Federal Reserve or borrowed by the government. For numerical examples, See Acharya, S. (August 2003), “Safe Banking,” published in the Journal of American Academy of Business, available at http://www.pro-prosperity.com/usa/safe%20Banking.pdf See Safe Bank Central (January 21, 2009), “Safe Banking, an early thought leader’s view” reproduced at http://www.pro-prosperity.com/Research/Safe%20Banking%20-%20An%20Excellent,%20early,%20thought%20leader's%20view.pdf I know nothing about Safe Banking Central or how they got hold of my paper on Safe Banking. Internet browsing led me to Safe Banking Central’s comments on my paper. See Acharya, S. (January 31, 2005), “Enhancing American Competitiveness,” sent to the then US President and Congress including the then Senator Barack Obama of Illinois. For a rational rendition of epistemic truth, soul and Paramatma, see Acharya, S. (1995, revised 2011), A Unifying Philosophy of Governance, http://www.pro-prosperity.com/Research/A%20Unifying%20Philosophy%20of%20Governance.pdf See, Acharya, S. (January 31, 2005), Enhancing American Competitiveness at http://www.pro-prosperity.com/USPresident013105.html See Acharya, S. (October 10, 2011), No-subsidy Mantra of Governance needed to Attain the Most Efficiently Competitive Economy, at http://www.pro-prosperity.com/Research/Governance-and-Most-Efficient-Competitive-Economy.pdf See Acharya, S. (2009), Optimal Governance for Prosperity amid Stability, at http://www.pro-prosperity.com/Research/Prosperity%20Amid%20Stability%20-%20A%20New%20Economic%20Paradigm.pdf The original research of 1991 has expanded to obtain first-best general equilibrium policy results in Economically Efficient Constitutional Governance, available at http://www.pro-prosperity.com/Research/Prosperity%20Amid%20Stability%20-%20A%20New%20Economic%20Paradigm.pdf
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